the black swan: the impact of the highly improbable

Giới Thiệu Sách The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable PDF Miễn Phí

Thư viện Bài Tập Online giới thiệu đến bạn đọc cuốn sách The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable của tác giả Nassim Nicholas Taleb, do nhà xuất bản Penguin phát hành năm 2008. Cuốn sách gồm 444 trang với dung lượng 19.8 x 12.9 x 2.6 cm và trọng lượng 358g, được phân phối bởi nhà cung cấp Penguin Books.

The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent